Much needed heavy rain will be around central Mississippi Thursday. A disturbance in the upper atmosphere will cross our area Thursday. The disturbance combined with tropical moisture will produce heavy downpours between 6AM and 1PM. The rain should move rapidly to our east by early afternoon. Cold air in the upper atmosphere could be enough to produce some small hail across south Mississippi with some of the stronger storms.

Next week is not looking so clear this evening as long range weather models are having trouble resolving long range weather. Many times I am quite comfortable with my forecast out 5-7 days but confidence is very low right now.

Forecast models are having a lot of trouble keeping track and up to date with numerous fast moving disturbances. A long line of disturbances will be crossing the area over the next week. 1 Thursday, another late Saturday with the next one due in Christmas Eve or on Christmas.